[Frosties.]

Re: Can Leeds qualify for the Top 4? : Tue Apr 12, 2016 9:35 pm  

Say we are in the middle eights this year (looks likely) and if we won the challenge cup, when would we fit the SL game in hand in? Because we would still have a place in the WCS but we would also enter the CC a round earlier.

Re: Can Leeds qualify for the Top 4? : Wed Apr 13, 2016 11:33 am  

William Eve wrote: I'd be interested how that matches up to the SL table as it currently stands. Are you familiar with Pythagorean expectation? Vertical height from top to bottom is the order of the actual table. Horizontally from right to left is what the table 'should' look like, based on jiggering about with points difference. The best exponent I have found for top flight British RL is 1.79. But for their, up to the weekend, excellent defence Wigan would be down there with you.

William Eve wrote: I'd be interested how that matches up to the SL table as it currently stands. Are you familiar with Pythagorean expectation? Vertical height from top to bottom is the order of the actual table. Horizontally from right to left is what the table 'should' look like, based on jiggering about with points difference. The best exponent I have found for top flight British RL is 1.79. But for their, up to the weekend, excellent defence Wigan would be down there with you.

Re: Can Leeds qualify for the Top 4? : Wed Apr 13, 2016 11:36 am  

And while I'm at it, a scatter plot of points difference

Re: Can Leeds qualify for the Top 4? : Thu Apr 14, 2016 7:55 am  

I've added this year's points ranges to the points per game plot



And the current rate of points acquisition:



So at the moment between 0.9 to 1 point per game required overall to hit 8th position. And that's overall, not the remaining games.

Let's say it's one point per game. Twenty three games overall, four points in the bag right now. 19 points from thirteen remaining games. That's an improvement from 0.4 ppg to 1.4 ppg required to hit that target.

Slightly lower of course because if you do start winning at the required rate then the win rate of the teams above you has to come down to accommodate that. Still, that's a daunting task.

Re: Can Leeds qualify for the Top 4? : Thu Apr 14, 2016 8:33 am  

You're in your element here aren't you?

Re: Can Leeds qualify for the Top 4? : Thu Apr 14, 2016 8:51 am  

Nothing personal. They'd be in Huddersfield colours and on their forum too if the buggers could take a joke.

Re: Can Leeds qualify for the Top 4? : Tue Apr 26, 2016 7:46 am  

All previous Leeds SL seasons in grey. This season in red.



(Again, nothing personal. I have done this for everyone)

Re: Can Leeds qualify for the Top 4? : Tue Apr 26, 2016 10:23 am  

OT = CWF

Re: Can Leeds qualify for the Top 4? : Tue Apr 26, 2016 6:17 pm  

Middleton_Loiner wrote:

OT = CWF

WTF?

Re: Can Leeds qualify for the Top 4? : Wed Apr 27, 2016 3:11 pm  

HRS Rhino wrote:

WTF?

FWIW IIRC